Iowa at Penn State

Unbeaten Iowa has a rock-solid defense that is 18th in the nation in yards allowed, 14th in points given up (12.3 per game), and 30th on third down (33.33%). The Hawkeyes are 53-29 ATS against teams that average 200+ yards rushing, plus 22-10 ATS versus offenses averaging 37+ points. Penn State is also undefeated and faces its first Top 25 opponent. A year ago, the Nittany Lions faced two Top 25 Big 10 opponents and lost both, 41-17 and 44-31. The 41-17 loss to Michigan was after a 5-0 start. Penn State is 15-30 ATS against pass defenses that allow 5.75 or fewer yards per passing attempt and 30-50 ATS versus defenses that allow 310 or fewer yards per contest. And college football road teams like Iowa that allow 14 or fewer points per game are 29-7 ATS after giving up 14 or fewer points in back-to-back contests. Play Iowa.