This pick was released to clients on October 26, 2023 at 8:56AM ET.
img CFB

Iowa at Penn State

October 27, 2018
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Iowa has won and covered six of its seven games this season, including a 23-0 whitewash of Maryland last week as a 9.5-point favorite. The Hawkeyes are allowing only 14.1 points per game, which is good for fifth in the country, and they are #3 in total yards allowed at 258.1 per game. Iowa held the Terrapins to a minuscule 115 yards of offense, only 47 through the air, while the Hawkeye offense racked up 224 rushing yards on 4.3 yards per carry. Nathan Stanley threw for only 86 yards on 11-of-22 against the Terps, but Ivory Kelly-Martin ran for 98 yards on 24 carries for the Hawkeyes. This is a true revenge game for Iowa, which lost a heartbreaker, 21-19, to Penn State last year as a 13-point underdog. The Nittany Lions have not covered their last two games, both as a double-digit favorite, and they actually lost outright to Michigan State two weeks ago before edging Indiana 33-28 as a 14-point favorite. The UNDER is 7-3-1 the last 11 meetings, and Iowa has stayed UNDER 13 of its last 19 after a win of 20-plus points. Iowa has covered the number four road games in a row and eight of its last nine overall. Play Iowa and the UNDER.

1 unit on Iowa +7 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 52 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Iowa Hawkeyes
12
5
0
7
24
Penn State Nittany Lions img
7
10
10
3
30
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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