Iowa at Ohio State

Iowa's offense (32 points per contest) has improved under first-year offensive coordinator Tim Lester. Their quarterbacks have four TDs and two picks while the ground game behind RB Kaleb Johnson (685 yards, 8.4 ypc) averages 6.0 yards per rush. Only a one-point loss to Iowa State has prevented a 4-0 start. The Hawkeyes were a small favorite at Minnesota in the last game and won big, 31-14. They've had two weeks to prepare after a bye and, as usual, have a rock-solid defense. The defense is 15th in the country in points (13.8 points per game allowed) while holding opponents to just 62 yards rushing per game on an average of 2.4 yards per run. Ohio State gets its first real test and had to play last week at Michigan State. They've failed to cover three of their last four at home. The visitors have the dominant defense to keep this close and have a chance to pull off the upset. Play Iowa ATS + bet an extra half-unit on the moneyline.