This pick was released to clients on August 24, 2012 at 12:09PM ET.
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Iowa at LSU

January 1, 2005
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Nick Saban will coach his final game for the Tigers here which makes this game more interesting. Saban had a chance, if he stayed put, to build a dynasty. He instead opted to step up to the NFL and take over as coach and GM of the Fins. Not so sure he won't end up just like Butch Davis in Cleveland. He made a huge mistake in my opinion. One thing is for sure - it will affect his team in this game - and not in a good way. This will give Iowa a shot to pull off a big upset. Iowa's 20-4 conference mark the last three years matches Michigan for the best in the Big Ten during that span. The Hawkeyes finish strong, going 13-4 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Iowa can also get and stay on a role. They are 14-3 ATS after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons.There is not a better coach in all the land than Ferentz who's bunch has traditionally thrived in the underdog role. The circus surrounding LSU right now may be too great for them to produce an optimal performance here. Two stars on the Hawkeyes plus the points and another one star on them to pull off the upset win.

1 unit on Iowa +240 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 3.4)
Result:
WIN
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