Indiana at Purdue

Purdue hosts Indiana in a game in which the home team is 6-0 ATS over the past 6 seasons. Kyle Orton ends his career Saturday at home against the Hoosiers in a rivalry game. Orton has had a wonderful season and career for the Boilermakers and will go out with a bang this weekend. The Boliermaker offense will shred the Hoosiers and turn this one into a rout. Indiana is 1-5 ATS vs. excellent passing teams averaging 275 or more passing yards/game and 3-11 ATS in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is also only 1-7 ATS in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. They are horrendous on the road this year, going 1-4 and surrendering an eye-popping 466 yards per game. Finally, Purdue is 7-1 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread over the last 3 seasons. They have been very good at home (averaging 33-12 score at home this season). We go with the Boilermakers minus the points, risking 220 to win 200 here.