Indiana at Michigan State

Indiana's defense has led the way during its 3-1 start, #26 in the nation in yards allowed, while giving up 19.5 points per contest. They are led by third-year coach Tom Allen, a defensive guy. They are on a 5-1 run UNDER the total, as well as 7-2 UNDER on the road against a team with a winning home record. But they run into a dominant Michigan State defense, top 10 in points allowed (11 points per game) and yards per contest given up. Michigan State is on a 10-2 run UNDER the total and this shapes up as a defensive battle. Back the UNDER.