This is a big game for Illinois HC Bret Bielema, as he used to coach Wisconsin. And Illinois is playing well, winning three of four, on a 6-1 spread run, as well as 7-3 in Big 10 action. The coaching staff has put in an uptempo offense for this season and it's flourishing under QB Tommy DeVito (9 TDs, 2 INTs), a transfer from Syracuse. That opens holes for RB Chase Brown (604 yards, 6.4 ypc). The defense is fourth in the nation allowing 10.7 points per game after being No. 29 in scoring defense in 2021. Illinois is 10-1 ATS on the road after three or more straight games UNDER the total, while Bielema is 26-13 ATS against teams that average 8+ passing yards per attempt. The Illini has had a few extra days to prepare after a Thursday win while Wisconsin is still licking its wounds after a 52-21 blowout loss to Ohio State. The Badgers also have a 17-14 loss at home to Washington State as a 17-point favorite. And QB Graham Mertz has 17 TDs and 14 interceptions since the start of last season. Play Illinois.
This pick was released to clients on September 28, 2023 at 10:39AM ET.
CFB
Illinois at Wisconsin
October 1, 2022
12:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Illinois +7 (-109) (risk 1.5 to return 2.88)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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