Illinois at Minnesota

Illinois lost 20-14 to Rutgers, but that was a week after the Fighting Illini had to go nine overtimes to beat Penn State. The Illini have allowed only 18.2 points per game their last six games, and Illinois QB Brandon Peters went 14 of 19 for 190 yards and two touchdowns against the Scarlet Knights. Minnesota is laying too many points against a team that has been playing good defense. The Golden Gophers have won four straight while playing a mediocre schedule so far, and they lost 14-10 to Bowling Green as a 30.5-point favorite in September. Also, Minnesota is thin at running back with three who are out for the season. Illinois has covered six of its past eight November games, and it has been keeping games close while being 3-2-1 ATS its last six games. Chase Brown rushed for 257 yards against Charlotte and 223 versus Penn State. He also had 18 carries against Rutgers for 67 yards. Grab the big points with Illinois.