Illinois at Michigan

The Michigan offense was tortured by a pair of the best defenses in the country in games vs. Alabama and Notre Dame. But when playing other teams without top defenses the Wolverines have scored 46 points per game against their other three opponents. As a result, they have climbed back in to the Top 25. The Illini have held down a couple of cupcakes in Western Michigan and Charleston Southern to hide some of their defensive short-comings. Those numbers dilute the total picture, which has otherwise been grim. Illinois has allowed over 40 points per game to their other opponents, while the offense has struck for 14 or less in three of them. Needless to say, they are in trouble on both sides of the ball here. The Illini make a lot of mistakes, regardless of who is at QB and have thrown nine INTs already on the season. And, the ground game has stalled. The road has not been their friend recently at just 1-4 ATS in their last five. The Wolverines bounce-back after passing for less than 170 yards in their last game at 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight. In their last 22 games following back to back blowout losses by 17+ points, Illinois is just 5-17 ATS. All Michigan in this one, so play on them here.