Illinois at Michigan State

Illinois has a winning record and a shot at a Bowl game but isn't getting any respect as a double-digit dog. Junior QB Brandon Peters (13 TDs, four INTs) leads a balanced offense that has topped 30 points five times while the defense has allowed an average of 13 points the last three games (all wins). That included a 24-23 upset of Wisconsin as a +30-point dog. A college football road team off two straight wins by 17+ points is 80-44 ATS when facing an opponent after a loss by 17+ points. Michigan State has lost three in a row after a 28-7 defeat at home to Penn State. Michigan State is on a 6-15 spread run, plus 36-62 ATS off a Big 10 loss. The offense has scored just 17 total points the last three games and they are 7-20 ATS after getting less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Grab the points and play Illinois.