Idaho at Louisiana Tech

The Idaho Vandals came out of nowhere to win eight games a year ago, culminating with a come-from-behind win 43-42 in their Bowl game against Bowling Green. Lost in the apparent success was the fact that the Vandals started 6-1, but have since been a mediocre 5-7. Louisiana Tech went to The Kibbie Dome last year and, if not for a missed extra point on the apparent game tying touchdown, were headed to overtime vs. the Vandals. Tech piled-up over 500 yards and outgained the Vandals on the road. I'm sure there is some redemption in the minds of the Bulldogs for this one and that kind of motivation can make the difference in a close game. The Vandals are still having road woes, having gone 3-9 ATS in their last 12 when posted as a road favorite. That includes an 0-4-1 ATS mark if the line is -3 or less. Under head coach Robb Akey, this team is just 7-16 ATS in conference games. The Bulldogs are cash cows against teams with a .500 record or better, entering this one at 9-1 ATS in their last 10. They are also 10-2 ATS the past three seasons at home. I like the live home dog here.