This pick was released to clients on October 19, 2023 at 9:34AM ET.
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Idaho at Appalachian State

October 22, 2016
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Appalachian State Mountaineers had a lot of success on the FCS level, and just a couple years into the FBS they put together an 11-win season last year. They run out of the triple-option, which is tough to defend for someone that runs it well, simply because defenses just don't see a lot of it. While they have not been as good as last year's team running it, they are still generating 4.5 yards per run vs. a schedule of teams allowing 4.0. Idaho struggles to run the ball and the strength of the Mountaineers' defense is against the pass, so the Vandals are going to have issues maintaining drives in this one. Idaho is also poor at stopping the run, which I am sure will encourage Appalachian State to run more than the 45 rushes they average per game this season. Triple-option teams tend to get off fewer plays, and with success against a poor run defense, the Mountaineers may put it on the ground 55 times or more, and the clock will continue to run. This one stays UNDER.

1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 53.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Idaho Vandals
0
6
3
10
19
App State Mountaineers img
10
0
13
14
37
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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