This pick was released to clients on December 13, 2016 at 2:49PM ET.
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Houston vs. San Diego State

December 17, 2016
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

LAS VEGAS BOWL - The Houston Cougars can only reflect on what could have been. This was a team that appeared to be headed to a G5 New Year's Bowl bid, but just had some awful games, none worse than the SMU game. The team then suffered another surprise loss to Navy where they were run to death. It is hard to imagine this team with any focus at all here, playing a Mountain West Conference opponent is hardly going to get their juices flowing. They also have lost their coach who has moved on to take the job at Texas. There is just too much baggage coming into this game for the Cougars. Speaking of running to death, San Diego State is likely going to feed the ball to Donnell Humphrey, and with good reason. Humphrey has ground out 6,290 yards in his career, and with 108 rushing yards in this one, he will pass Ron Dayne and become the all-time rushing leader in NCAAF history. That should be a motivating factor for the Aztecs. San Diego State averaged winning their games by 14.3 points per game this season, and have a very good defense that appeared to tire down the stretch, but should be well rested for this one. Play on San Diego State.

1 unit on San Diego State +4 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Houston Cougars
10
0
0
0
10
San Diego State Aztecs img
0
6
14
14
34
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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