Houston at Central Florida

The AAC's first season was supposed to be signed, sealed, and delivered to Louisville. Central Florida dealt those plans a crushing blow as they not only beat the Cardinals, they did so on the road as a two-TD underdog. Houston has not lost in the conference either, so the winner here will stand alone in the top spot. Houston may be 7-1, and just a single point from 8-0, but they have had no tough games other than BYU, and that was at home. Central Florida is better on both sides of the ball, and have gotten to 6-1 despite having Louisville and Penn State on the road to go with a loss to South Carolina. The Cougars are an ugly 9-19 ATS in their last 28 on the road vs. a winning home team. The Knights have taken command after allowing less than 100 yards on the ground in their previous game, following at 38-14-1 ATS in their last 53. Since George O'Leary took over the helm here, the Knights are 23-13 ATS as a home favorite including 10-2 ATS when laying 7.5 to 14 points. All Central Florida in this one.