Hawaii at UAB

UAB is thrilled to be playing in a bowl game but has the unfortunate task of playing the Rainbows on their home field on Christmas Day. Hawaii has all the intangibles working for them here. Most teams view the trip to Honaluhu as a vacation. If the history of this game tells us anything, it is that the team with the most business like approach in Hawaii walks away from this game with a win. The problem for UAB is that nothing will be out of the ordinary for the Rainbows. The Rainbows are 7-1 at home this season and 6-2 ATS in those contests. That includes impressive wins against Michigan State and Northwestern. It will be business as usual as Hawaii will win this game and Tim Chang will blow up in his final game for the Island Warriors. This will be a shoot-out and UAB isn't very good in these types of games. They are 1-6 ATS vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 34 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons. Two stars on Hawaii. Games in which the total is greater than or equal to 63 invloving a team with a poor defense (allowing 400 or more total yards/game), after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game are 24-5 OVER (83%) the last 10 seasons. Also, games involving teams with a poor defense (allowing 400 or more total yards/game), after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game have gone OVER 32-13 (71%) over the last 5 seasons. Hawaii qualifies for both of these trends. One more star on the over here.