Hawaii at Georgia

Well here we go again as another non-BCS school has won its way into a BCS Bowl game. Last year Boise State proved that these teams may not be from a top conference, but the best of them can play with anyone. Most people look at the schedules and say they win because they don't play anyone, which is true in part. But it doesn't mean they can't play, and that is often the mistake made. Hawaii had its toughest games all at the end when they faced Boise State, Washington, Fresno State and Nevada. Three of these teams are in Bowl games and Hawaii out-gained them by over two yards per play! Most view Hawaii as strictly an offensive team, but their defense actually has positive yards-per-play numbers against the good offensive teams they have played. Who is likely to be more motivated for this one? Georgia is in a BCS Bowl game, but not against Ohio State, USC, or a national power. Georgia is playing a game they are supposed to win, but doesn't give them the emotional buzz. For Hawaii, like Utah and Boise State before them, it is a chance in a lifetime to win against a big time school. The Rainbows have one of the best QBs in the nation, and they are the lone unbeaten team in the nation and are facing a team that didn't even win their division. The fact is that teams with one loss or less getting 7+ points have delivered the cash in 22 of 28 bowl games! That is 79% of the time. We look for a good Hawaii team to have a chance to get the outright win here, but we will take the safety net of the huge pointspread. Hawaii won't have as much offensive success as they are used to against a Georgia team that keps foes to 21 ppg this season. Under Mark Richt, Georgia is 60% to the UNDER as a favorite. This total is set way too high and we like the UNDER here as well.