Hawaii at Boise State

MOUNTAIN WEST CHAMPIONSHIP - Hawaii has a terrific offense for this Mountain West title game, rotating QBs Cole McDonald (29 TDs, 13 INTs) and Chevan Cordeiro (8 TDs, 3 picks). They also tout a pair of running backs who average over 5.2 yards per carry to provide balance alongside a trio of gifted receivers in Cedric Byrd II (1,049 yards), Jared Smart (915) and JoJo Ward (906). Boise won the first meeting back in October, but college football road dogs of 10.5 to 21 points are 116-62 ATS when revenging a road loss against the same opponent when they have four of more starters returning than their opponent. Boise State has failed to cover in four of its last six, including a loss to BYU as chalk and close wins over Wyoming (20-17) and Colorado State (31-24) as double-digit favorites. And college football favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that have won eight or more of their last 10 games are 30-63 ATS when facing a team with a winning percentage between 60% to 80%. Take the points and play on Hawaii.