This pick was released to clients on October 19, 2023 at 9:34AM ET.
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Georgia State at Arkansas State

October 18, 2018
img7:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Arkansas State is laying a lot of points for a team that's coming off two losses, including a 35-9 blowout by Appalachian State. The Red Wolves are #125 in the country in rush defense allowing 245.2 yards per game. They were shut out in the second half against Appalachian State and the Red Wolves were 3-for-17 in third down efficiency in that game. Admittedly, Georgia State also has struggled with a current 2-4 record, but it has played a decent schedule, including road games at N.C. State, Memphis and Troy. Quarterback Dan Ellington was 20-of-36 for 272 yards and a touchdown with no interceptions and rushed for 59 yards against Troy on Oct. 4. The Panthers have had two weeks to prepare for this matchup and they are 10-1-1 ATS their last 12 October games and the road team has covered the last four meetings. Arkansas State is 0-6 ATS its last six home contests and 1-7 ATS its last eight games overall. The Red Wolves have gone UNDER four games in a row and Georgia State has stayed UNDER three of its last five. The Panthers are 6-1 UNDER their last seven games following a loss and 26-10 UNDER their last 36 games overall. Arkansas State is 8-2 UNDER their last 10 after a loss. Play Georgia State and the UNDER. 

1.5 units on Georgia State +14 (-105) (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 57 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Georgia State Panthers
7
0
14
14
35
Arkansas State Red Wolves img
20
14
7
10
51
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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