Georgia at Florida

The Gators are well on their way to a showdown in the SEC Championship game with Alabama, but still have some business to take care of as they will face the Georgia Bulldogs in Jacksonville. What was supposed to be a lights-out offense with Tim Tebow returning has taken a step back especially when he suffered a concussion early on. That has not been a problem for the Gators as the defense has been enormous, allowing just 10 points per game. The Bulldogs are certainly not the same team they were a year ago and have taken their lumps as they have already allowed three SEC teams to hang 37+ on them. I see no reason why a healthier Tebow-led Gators team can't approach those numbers in this one. The young Georgia offense that lost QB Matt Stafford and RB Knowshon Moreno is retooling and has already produced 20 points or less in four games, and they won't find any room against this iron-clad Gator 11. The Bulldogs are a money burning 4-12 ATS in their last 16 and the Gators have now posted an impressive 18-4 ATS mark against teams with a winning record. Urban Meyer still hasn't forgiven Mark Richt for that classless goal-line celebration in 2007 and he will not let off the gas pedal here. I expect a focused good effort from his team. Florida is 14-5 ATS as a favorite since last season and 9-1 ATS vs. winning teams over that same span. The Gators are too strong on both sides of the ball and they get the win and cover here.