This pick was released to clients on August 24, 2012 at 12:26PM ET.
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Fresno State at Virginia

December 27, 2004
img2:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Some teams are undoubtedly upset about their bowl destination. The Cavs headed into this season with huge expectations. There was talk of an ACC Championship and an abundance of returning talent. The bottom line here is this team underacheived in 2004. They lost two of their last three games leaving them a dissapointing date with Fresno State in a bowl game. Do not be suprised if the Cavs do not show up here. Stopping the run really comes down to heart. Fresno can run the ball very well, and the Cavs will have to stop them if they are to cover this spread. Virginia is 0-11 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams (averaging >5.9 yards/play). The Wahoos are also only 12-27 ATS in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992. Fresno is playing in its "Super Bowl" here and will do everything it can for the W. Two star pick on Fresno State plus the points.

2 units on Fresno State +5.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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