Fresno State at UNLV

The good news for these teams is that someone has to win this game. The team that does will record their first win of the season vs. an FBS team, albeit not a good one. These teams come in at 0-6 vs. the FBS. Combined they have allowed 43.7 points per game in the six games, so defense has not been part of the equation. However, that has allowed for some value to leak into the total, because all those offenses had a huge advantage against these teams, which won't be the case here. UNLV has the better chance of winning, and getting out ahead. They will be running the ball over 60% of the time, much like they have done all season, and even moreeso if they are ahead which could well be the case. Fresno throws the ball a lot, but not with much success, so I just don't see enough sustained offense here to get this one into the 60s. This one stays UNDER.