Fresno State at Toledo

This is a very difficult spot for Fresno State. They had the big win over Rutgers and needed a win vs. Wisconsin last week to establish legitimacy. With a win in that game, and a spotless conference record, they would have sealed a BCS bid. Yes, their hopes were high. They let it all out last week vs. Wisconsin, but came up a field goal short. It would be unimaginable they come back on the road at Toledo and play with any energy at all. What complicates matters more for the Bulldogs is they have UCLA on deck, so this becomes the perfect sandwich game where they are a no show. Toledo is a very difficult place to win on the road where the Rockets stand 41-6 in their last 47 games. I will back the Rockets here expecting a disinterested Bulldogs team to find themselves in a fight.