Fresno State at San Diego State

Fresno State (4-2 SU, 5-1 ATS) is a dog again but playing well. They've won three in a row, including last week as a dog to New Mexico, 38-0. The defense has been great all season, allowing 20 points and 107.5 yards rushing (#14 in the nation) per contest despite having to face both Washington and Alabama on the road. The Bulldogs are quietly on a 12-3-1 spread run, including 10-1 ATS after getting 450+ total yards in their previous game. Fresno State is unbeaten in conference play and three QBs have combined for 12 TDs, three picks for Coach Jeff Tedford. Road underdogs with eight or more offensive starters returning including the QB are 72-33 ATS after gaining 525+ yards the last game. They face a banged up San Diego State squad off a 31-14 loss to Boise as a favorite, down 21-0 at the half at home and ended up allowing 186 yards rushing, 5.5 ypc. The offense had just 83 rushing yards on 39 carries, 2.1 ypc. SDSU is also 12-25 ATS at home versus offensive teams averaging 5.9 yards or more per play. Take the points and play Fresno State.