This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2023 at 6:43AM ET.
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Fresno State at Boise State

October 8, 2022
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

After starting 0-3-1 ATS, Boise State finally got the money as the Broncos defeated San Diego State 35-13. It was also just the second time in 12 games that they went OVER the total. Fresno State will be in a foul mood after an embarrassing loss at Connecticut as the Bulldogs must have been looking ahead to this conference game against the Broncos. The game stayed UNDER by 18 points and the previous week Fresno State went UNDER by 9.5 points against USC. QB Logan Fife finished 16 of 22 for 157 yards, but with no TDs and two interceptions against Connecticut and the Bulldogs couldn't get anything going on the ground. Boise State's other two wins were against FCS Tennessee Martin and New Mexico. One reason the Bulldogs might have been looking ahead to this matchup is that they were on the losing end of last year's meeting 40-14 as a four-point favorite. The last six meetings have gone UNDER and Boise State is 20-7 UNDER its past 27 games after giving up fewer than 20 points its previous game. Fresno State is 22-10-1 ATS its past 33 road games. Two plays here: Take Fresno State, and bet the UNDER as a Max Play

1 unit on Fresno State +7.5 (-109) (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 45.5 -109 (risk 2 to return 3.83)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Fresno State Bulldogs
7
10
3
0
20
Boise State Broncos img
7
13
7
13
40
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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