Fresno State at Boise State

The Boise State Broncos may not be a top 15 team as we have seen for many years in the past, but at 10-2 on the season they are nearly as good. Boise State has gotten better on both sides of the ball as the season has progressed. I think everyone knew that Fresno State would be down this season after losing a pair of skill players to the NFL. The offense has struggled all season and is below average. The biggest advantage for Boise State in this game will be their passing game, which is elite, vs. a very poor Fresno State secondary. The Broncos average 8.7 yards per pass attempt to Fresno's 6.1, so the yardage differential in this game supports a huge favorite. Boise State is 90-5 at home in their last 95 games and has covered 58.5% of those, including 66% when the line is less than -23. Boise State wins this one going away.