Rivalry games can mean intense defense and here a pair of longtime Florida rivals clash. Freshman QB Deondre Francois is running the Florida State offense and is being asked to do more as defenses focus on stopping talented RB Dalvin Cook. Cook was a Heisman candidate coming into the season after averaging 7.4 yards per carry in 2015, but is down to 5.9 ypc as defenses are forcing him to run inside more. Florida State is 10-4 UNDER the total in ACC games, as well as 18-8 UNDER on natural grass. They face a powerhouse Miami defense that is seventh in the nation in yards, allowing 253 per game, plus second in points allowed (11 points per game). Only Ohio State is allowing fewer points. This is a high total but the scores the last two years were close affairs, 30-26 and 29-24. In last year's meeting, Miami had just 20 yards rushing on 19 carries (1.1 ypc) while Florida State was 3-of-11 on third and fourth down combined. This total is high but the UNDER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings in Miami. Play Florida State/Miami UNDER the total.
This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2023 at 6:43AM ET.
CFB
Florida State at Miami Florida
October 8, 2016
8:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 64.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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