Florida State at Miami Florida

This is a big number for a game like this with these ACC rivals. Florida State QB Deondre Francois is for real, with nine TDs, and two picks his last four games. LT Landon Dickerson returned to the lineup last week after missing FSU's previous three games with an ankle injury. His presence brought stability as the Seminoles went with the same offensive line for the entirety of Saturday's 28-24 win over Louisville. QB Francois was not sacked for the first time this season. Florida State is 7-3 ATS after getting 280+ yards passing in their previous game, plus coach Willie Taggart is 23-9 ATS as a road underdog. Miami is a big favorite but hasn't been tested outside of a 33-17 loss to LSU in the opener. They were a three-point favorite that game. Miami coach Mark Richt is 13-28 ATS at home against winning teams. With the underdog 13-3 ATS when these rivals clash, back the visitors in a close one. Play Florida State.