Florida State at Miami Florida

After watching Arkansas get buried by Texas last week, you knew this would be a huge spread. But is Arkansas that bad? Texas hates Arkansas, so you knew they would not play a lethargic game and they did in fact bring it. In addition, Florida is off a loss that no one could see coming at the swamp as a 20+ point favorite. People often believe that a team in that situation will be mad and motivated, and come back big after a loss of that nature. But the fact is, undefeated teams after suffering their first loss tend to do poorly in their next game. Think about it. The National Title they were chasing may have been lost, and the dream has been crushed. That's not a motivator, but a demotivator. Florida simply has not looked anything like what most expected. They have struggled far too often. On the surface their early games looked like big easy wins, but special teams and pick-6's have widened the margins in their wins. I look for Arkansas to play inside this number at home, as Florida will likely be flat here.