Florida State at Louisville

Florida State has won two of three despite facing a pair of Top 10 teams over the last two weeks. They come off a 31-28 win over North Carolina, with a pair of runners averaging 5.5 and 5.8 yards per carry in RB LaDamian Webb and QB Jordan Travis. The Seminoles are 8-0 ATS against losing teams and face a Louisville squad off an emotional loss to No. 4 Notre Dame, giving it all they had in a 12-7 defeat. Louisville is winless in conference play (0-4) with a struggling run defense surrendering 171.8 yards rushing and 29.8 points per game. Louisville is 19-34 ATS at home against losing teams, losing by a 35-21 average, plus 13-26 ATS at home off of an ACC loss. Louisville will be without two key players in RB Hassan Hall and DE Yaya Diaby. College football home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points are 15-41 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 points or fewer in the previous contest. Florida State has topped Louisville in each of the last two years, 35-24 and 28-24, and matches up well. Play Florida State.