Florida International at Southern Miss

A pair of teams finishing up lost seasons. Florida International is a big dog but has a very good senior QB in Max Bortenschlager (18 TDs, 10 INTs) along with fine targets in WRs Tyrese Chambers (919 yards, 23 yards per catch) and Bryce Singleton (772 yards, 18.8 yards per catch). Florida International is 10-3 ATS after allowing less than 275 total yards in the last game, plus 15-3 ATS after two straight games with a turnover margin of minus-1 or worse. Southern Miss is 2-9 but in the role of favorite for the first time all season - and double-digit chalk at that! The ground game averages just 2.7 yards per rush while 5 QBs have combined for 12 TDs, 16 interceptions while getting sacked 44 times. And in their last three home games, they were a +1 dog to Texas-El Paso and lost 26-13, a +17 dog to UAB and lost 34-0, and a +5 dog to North Texas and lost 38-14. Play Florida International.