Florida at Tennessee

Florida has a first-year coach in Dan Mullen that is a proponent of running the pigskin, and he inherited a ton of defensive talent. The Gators are #18 in the country in points allowed (14.3 points per game), and are eighth against the pass. Florida's running back depth took a hit as Malik Davis will miss time after breaking his left foot. The Gators are on a 7-3 run UNDER the total on the road, and 11-5 UNDER against winning teams. The Gators' defense has been great at forcing takeaways with eight and the team is 14-3 UNDER after scoring 40+ points in their previous game. Tennessee also has a new head coach in Jeremy Pruitt and the offense has not been pretty. Sophomore Jarrett Guarantano is learning the new playbook with just two TDs in three games. Brandon Kennedy, the Volunteers' starting center, will miss the season after tearing his ACL in practice. Tennessee is on an 8-2 run UNDER the total at home, as well as 9-4 UNDER on natural grass. In a game like this with two mediocre offenses, look for more field goals and punts than TDs. Play the UNDER.