Florida at Mississippi State

Florida is a dog, but has great balance on offense behind QB Feleipe Franks (12 TDs, two picks) and RB Dameon Pierce (10.7 yards per carry). Their top three rushers are averaging over six yards per carry, while the defense is #19 in the nation in points allowed (16 points per game), including top 10 against the pass. Florida is 14-4 UNDER the total after scoring 40+ points in their previous game. They face a Mississippi State squad that has had an easy schedule and comes off a 28-7 loss to Kentucky as a double-digit favorite. The offense was stuffed for 145 yards passing and just 56 yards rushing, 2.0 yards per carry. The Bulldogs are 2-7 ATS after getting fewer than 275 total yards in their previous game. The Mississippi State defense is strong, at #10 in points allowed (13.5 ppg), and top 10 against the pass. The Bulldogs are on a 7-3 run UNDER the total at home, as well as 9-4 UNDER on natural grass. The dog is 3-0-1 ATS when these rivals clash and this shapes up as another close defensive duel. Play Florida and the UNDER.