Florida at Miami Florida

A great sunshine state match-up. The key here will be the Miami defense and its ability to stop Fason and Leak of the Gators. Miami's defense faltered late in the season costing them the ACC Championship and the BCS berth. Miami is 1-5 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 or more since 1992. They are also 1-5 ATS when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest over the last 3 seasons. There is currently a great deal of excitement surrounding the Florida football factory with the arrival of Urban Meyer from Utah. Besides all of the excitement, there is a great deal of talent on the Gator team on both sides of the football. They often say that bowl games are the first game of the following season. Expect Florida to come out and win this game on pure emotion. After all, they'll likely be my preseason pick to win the National Championship next season. Two star pick on Florida plus the points and another one-star on Florida to win the game outright in an upset.