Florida at Kentucky

It always looks scary playing against a Florida team that can hang a 50 on you in the drop of a hat. You have to pick your spots and this is the perfect breather game for the Gators. They are coming off their grudge match vs. Tennessee, one in which everyone thought they'd run up the score because of the ongoing feud between Lane Kiffin and Urban Meyer. But the Gators were not able to do it, winning at home by just 10. The Wildcats catch the Gators in a perfect letdown spot after the big emotional rivalry game, especially considering what is on deck for the Gators (a road game at LSU). Kentucky was once the doormat of the SEC, but they have been catching up to the pack in the conference. They have been much more competitive in recent years, especially at home. How improved are they? If they lose to the Gators by more than three TDs, it will be their first home loss by a margin this big in more than three years. Also, it would be their biggest home loss since losing to Georgia all the way back in November 6 of 2004! The Wildcats have played well early in the season as they are 15-6 ATS in September under head coach Rich Brooks. They have also embraced the role as a home dog as they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games. Kentucky has covered the spread in this matchup five out of the last seven years. This is an easy letdown game for the Gators and the Cats are “Mild Cats” no more. I like Kentucky here.