Florida at Kentucky

Kentucky won last year's meeting 27-16 and it went UNDER by 9.5 points. Florida comes into this game having stayed UNDER in both of its games this season after shutting out UT Martin 45-0 after opening the season with a 24-20 victory over Miami. The Gators are #20 in the country in yards allowed as they bring back eight defensive starters, including three linemen from last year. Kentucky allowed only 17 points per game in 2018 although the Wildcats did lose seven starters on defense. They went OVER in their first two games this year, but those were against Mid-American Conference foes Toledo and Eastern Michigan. Kentucky's offense won't be so prolific when facing the Gators especially since its starting quarterback, Terry Wilson, is out for the season with a knee injury. Wilson had completed 14-of-26 for 114 yards before being injured against Eastern Michigan and then was relieved by junior Sawyer Smith.  The UNDER is 16-6 in Florida's last 22 games after it scored at least 40 points its previous game and Kentucky is 7-1 UNDER its last eight conference games. Take the UNDER.