The University of Alabama has been a top five team under Coach Saban almost immediately upon his arrival. They are a deep team that loses players every year, but simply plugs in new ones. The end result is that they win, and usually win big. Florida completely quit last year and had a brutal season, and many feel they will be back this season as they are off to a 2-0 start. The problem is that they beat Eastern Michigan, arguably the worst team in CFB over the past two decades, then struggled at home to a bad Kentucky team and needed overtime to get the win. The bottom line is that this team looks a lot like last year's team, and if that turns out to be true, the Gators are going to be for a rough season. We will likely find that out this week at Alabama. The numbers look the same for the Tide as they have for the last three years. Through three games over the last three years, Alabama has had an offense that produced 119 points on average for the three years, and a defense that allowed 29 on average. This year's numbers are 126-35. It looks scarily similar, and the Tide is going to be around for January in the Final Four. The Gators are not what they used to be at 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 vs. a winning team. The Tide stays warm after producing 40+ points at 14-6 ATS in their last 20. The Tide rolls, so play on Alabama.
This pick was released to clients on September 17, 2014 at 3:37PM ET.
CFB
Florida at Alabama
September 20, 2014
3:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on Alabama -14 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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