Florida Atlantic at North Texas

Looking at the Mean Green, they had their run early in the decade in the Sun Belt Conference. They certainly no longer resemble those teams. Since the ‘04-‘05 team that went to a Bowl game, they have fallen hard and fast. Over the last five years, North Texas has been a miserable 9-43 and recently has gone 2-15. That record is ugly unto itself but it is even uglier than it looks as the Mean Green has allowed 739 points in their last 17 games, or 43.5 ppg! It makes no sense to see a team that has been a colossal struggle favored. Two of their wins the last two years have come over teams that have not won a game (Ball State is 0-6 and Western Kentucky who joined the conference this season is 0-15 against FBS teams). How the Mean Green ends up as a favorite here is beyond me. Florida Atlantic is 0-4, but they have played Nebraska and South Carolina. In their other two games they lost to Conference leader UL Monroe by just 2 points and an improving Wyoming team by just 2. The wrong team is favored in this game. Under Howard Schnellenberger, the Owls are 12-4 ATS in road conference games and I like them to take that to 13-4 after this one.