Eastern Michigan at Toledo

Jason Candle is in his sixth year as head coach of Toledo, and he has made a point of turning the Rockets into a good defensive team. This year's squad is the best yet allowing only 18.3 points per game (#18 in the country) and yielding 326.8 yards per game (#25). The Rockets come off a 34-15 win over Western Michigan for their sixth consecutive UNDER, including an overtime game that still stayed UNDER. Toledo rushed for 192 yards on 43 carries against the Broncos as DeQuan Finn had an adequate game at quarterback, completing only 8 of 24 for 138 yards, but he did have two touchdowns with no interceptions. Eastern Michigan will face a much better defense than it did against Bowling Green, which lost 55-24 to the Eagles. Toledo has won and covered the last two meetings, and Eastern Michigan is 2-10 ATS after winning by at least 20 points (3-9 ATS following an ATS win). Also, the Rockets have gone UNDER in six of their last seven home games. Take Toledo and the UNDER.