East Carolina vs. South Florida

East Carolina is 2-2 despite playing all four at home. They just lost to Navy as a 17-point favorite. The Pirates continue to turn the ball over and miss chances to score points. The defense allowed Navy to score 23 points when it had yet to score 14 points in any game. East Carolina is 12-27 ATS after gaining 475+ total yards over three straight contests. South Florida has had a brutal schedule and is home after a two-game trip. That included a 31-28 loss at No. 18 Florida as a 23-point underdog. Sophomore RB Brian Battie (295 yards) is averaging 8.2 yards per carry and the team is 16-6 ATS after a loss by 28+ points, as well as 10-1 ATS after a spread loss. South Florida has won nine of 12 against East Carolina along with a 7-3 spread run, so back the home dog. Play South Florida.