Duke at Wake Forest

Duke has two games remaining and needs to win both to make a Bowl game. Duke is on a 9-4 spread run on the road, 8-2 ATS away against teams with a winning home record, plus 14-2 ATS on field-turf. They are a dog to a Wake Forest that has stumbled after a 5-0 start. They will make a Bowl game, but have lost the last two games badly, getting beat up at Virginia Tech (36-17) as a favorite and at Clemson (52-3). The last five games the defense is allowing 36 points per contest. The Demon Deacons are 4-9-1 after allowing 280+ yards passing in their previous game and Duke has covered six of the last eight meetings. Play Duke against the spread and take them to win outright.