Duke at Virginia

Virginia will be playing its first game of the season while Duke has two games under its belt, and in the age of COVID, that means something. The Blue Devils are 0-2, but they have played quality competition while losing to Notre Dame and Boston College. Redshirt junior quarterback Chase Brice went 23 of 42 for 217 yards and two interceptions, and the defense held the Eagles to 84 yards rushing. Virginia has a new starting quarterback in redshirt sophomore Brennan Armstrong. Duke has allowed 281.5 passing yards per game, and it ranks #34 in the country in total yards allowed. The Cavaliers lost their last two games of 2019, including a 62-17 wipeout by Clemson, and then they lost 36-28 to Florida in the Orange Bowl. Virginia returns eight defensive starters, but the team gave up 27 points per game last year. The Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS their last six games versus teams with losing records, and the underdog has covered four of the last five meetings. Take the points with Duke.