Duke at Tulane

Duke likes to pass under David Cutcliffe, but oddsmakers have been overvaluing their totals with the Blue Devils, on an 11-5 run UNDER the total. Duke had a strong ground attack last year (181.8 yards per game) and loses two-year starting QB Anthony Boone. Junior QB Thomas Sirk (3 TD, 0 INTs, 67 yds) steps in, so look for this offense to go to the ground in September more with senior RB Shaquille Powell (618 yards rushing, 4.6 yards per carry) and sophomore RB Shaun Wilson (598 yards, 7.7 yards per carry). The Blue Devils are on an 8-2 run UNDER the total on the road. The defense will be fine against a Tulane offense that ranked 107th in total offense and 121st in points, failing to score more than 14 in eight of their last nine games. They will lean on a running game that ranked just 91st nationally. Tulane is on a 4-0 run UNDER the total at home, as well as 7-1 UNDER overall. With several key starters returning on defense, Tulane should be closer to its form from 2013 (when it ranked 22nd nationally in yards allowed) than last season (when it dipped to 55th). All in all this shapes up as a low scoring defensive duel. Play UNDER the total here.