Duke at North Carolina

Duke has had their best season in football in memory, and at 9-2, can close out the Coastal Division of the ACC as Champions. I still think this team is highly suspect, and not as good as their record would indicate. Overall they are average from the line of scrimmage on both sides of the ball - not the numbers of a 9-2 power conference team. Why are they +6 point underdogs? For starters they have won each of their last four games, but have been out-gained in three of them. North Carolina has turned a 1-5 season, and potential disaster, into a Bowl team that has won five straight. Carolina is an above average defense, and their big advantage is a passing game that has generated 8.4 yards per attempt to a schedule of teams that average 7.1. North Carolina is 17-5 ATS in their last 22 at home vs. a team with a winning road record. Play on North Carolina.