Duke at Miami Florida

Duke picked the right guy to run the football program, off to a winning start under first-year coach Mike Elko, the former Texas A&M defensive coordinator. Duke's defense is #36 in the country allowing 22.7 points per game. Last year, they ranked #126 surrendering 41.8 per game. The offense looks to go ball control under mobile QB Riley Leonard, who leads the team in rushing with 420 yards. Duke is on a 59-38 run UNDER the total on the road. Miami-Florida is 3-3 with an offense that has had to deal with a lot of injuries, including RB Henry Parrish Jr. and wide receivers Key'Shawn Smith and Tyler Van Dyke. Smith was their third-leading receiver in 2021. Miami's defense led the way in last week's 20-14 win at Virginia Tech. Miami is 48-27 UNDER the total against teams that average 425+ yards per game, 40-23 UNDER versus teams that complete 62% or better of their passes, plus 24-10 UNDER after getting 450+ total yards in two straight contests. The UNDER is on a 4-0-1 when these rivals clash and this looks like another defensive duel. Play Duke/Miami-Florida UNDER the total.