Duke at Florida State

This is a tough situational spot for the rusty home team. Florida State hasn't played since November 14, while Duke has played the last two weeks. Duke is 11-3-1 ATS on the road versus teams with losing home records, as well as 15-5-1 ATS after allowing 280-plus passing yards in their previous game. The Florida State offense is averaging just 22 points. They've dropped three in a row allowing 48, 41, and 38 points, losing by 32, 24, and 16 points. The defense is surrendering 36.1 points and 464.3 yards per game, while its QBs have combined for eght TDs, 12 picks, and 28 sacks in eight games. And the Seminoles used eight freshmen in starting roles in their last game, a 38-22 loss at North Carolina State. Play Duke with the points.