img CFB

Connecticut at West Virginia

November 24, 2007
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This game is for all the marbles in the Big East and a BCS berth. For W. Virginia, it could make or break a National Championship opportunity. W. Virginia was supposed to be here in this position, and UCONN was not. This is a lot of points in a game that has so much meaning. The Connecticut defense has been good, holding every single opponent under 20 points except for Cincinnati. When you take a look at what led to that Cincinnati score, think of this: UCONN had three consecutive emotional, highly energized games prior to that Cincinnati game. They played S. Florida, Rutgers and Louisville and won them all. It was improbable to think they were coming off those three with anything left in the tank vs. a good Bearcats team. This line is inflated thanks to that game. The thinking being that UCONN is not that good as they were exposed vs. Cincinnati. Well, this team was supposed to be exposed when they went to Virginia (who is suddenly 9-2) and poised to win the ACC. UCONN lost in Charlottesville by 1, the closest anyone has come to beating Virginia at home. The Huskies were supposed to be exposed by Louisville, then certainly S. Florida, but it never happened. They went to Morgantown and forced OT. UCONN is this year's Rutgers in the Big East. The bottom line here is this team isn't good by name as they, like Rutgers last year, weren't supposed to be here. But they have answered all the questions, at every stop. W. Virginia has scored 26.3 ppg vs. defensive teams in the top 30 this year, and 45.7 ppg vs. everyone else. Many may feel they put up 40+ against UCONN, but if they get to 30, we would be surprised. We like getting this many points, on a very solid UCONN team.

3 units on Connecticut +18.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
Connecticut Huskies
7
7
0
7
21
West Virginia Mountaineers
14
10
21
21
66
odds odds
 
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