Colorado State at Boise State

You can throw out the first half of the season because this Colorado State defense has really turned things around. The Rams have a winning record in the Mountain West after upsetting Nevada (17-14) and shutting down Hawaii (17-13) while losing 17-13 to Utah State as a +14 dog. Colorado State is 21-10 ATS on the road against winning teams, plus 24-11 ATS after a game where they forced one or fewer turnovers. Boise State is in a sandwich spot after a big win over Air Force, 19-14, to stay undefeated in the MWC. The Cougars have a match with rival BYU on deck. A year ago, they were in a similar spot. After losing 24-17 to Air Force, Boise State was a 27-point favorite over Colorado State with a showdown against No. 23 Fresno State on deck. Boise trailed Colorado State at the half, 16-7, before rallying to win, 28-19. And college football road teams like Colorado State that average 3.25 or fewer yards rushing per carry are 164-96 ATS. Play Colorado State.