This pick was released to clients on January 12, 2020 at 12:03PM ET.
img CFB

Clemson vs. LSU

January 13, 2020
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Clemson went 15-0 last season and is 14-0 this year...yet the defending champs are an underdog to LSU. Clemson has great balance on offense behind QB Trevor Lawrence (3,431 passing yards, 36 TDs, 8 INTs), ranked third in the nation in total offense. They are also on a 26-0 SU/20-6 spread run! And the defense is dominant at second in yards allowed, with the best secondary in the country, and the top-scoring defense (11.5 points per game). Clemson is on a 13-6 run UNDER the total in Bowl games, and 51-21 UNDER versus opponents with a winning percentage above 75%. Clemson is also 17-4 ATS at neutral sites, and 10-1 ATS in Bowl games. LSU is ranked No. 1, but the top seed has not won the national title in the first five years of the College Football Playoff, as top seeds are 0-3 in the title game. They face a confident, talented, and well-coached Clemson squad that is 20-7 ATS against teams that score 37+ points per game, 37-18 ATS as an underdog, and 39-19 ATS when following a spread cover. Last season Clemson held Alabama to 16 points and 4-of-13 on third down in the title game, so back the defending champs in a defensive duel. Play Clemson and the UNDER.

1 unit on Clemson +6.5 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 69 -104 (risk 1.5 to return 2.94)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Clemson Tigers
7
10
8
0
25
LSU Tigers img
7
21
7
7
42
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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