Cincinnati at West Virginia

Cincinnati has a very good balance on offense behind senior QB Emory Jones (15 TDs, 10 INTs) and a ground attack that averages 5.0 yards per carry, which is 20th in the country. The Bearcats have covered two straight in a 28-26 loss to Central Florida and a 24-14 win at Houston as a +3 dog. They've also had close games against BYU, Baylor, Miami of Ohio (in overtime), and a 20-6 loss to No. 16 Oklahoma. West Virginia just lost to Oklahoma, 59-20. That's part of a 2-3 SU/ATS run losing twice as favorites to Houston and Oklahoma State giving up 41 and 48 points. The defense is 81st in points surrendered (29 per game), 96th in yards allowed (412.6 per game), and 70th on third down (39.66%). West Virginia is 36-55 ATS after covering two of the last three, so back the visitors. Play Cincinnati.