Cincinnati at Tulsa

It has been a tough year for Cincinnati and Coach Tommy Tuberville, as their is a lot of talk that he needs to get fired. The Bearcats' offense has reached a standstill, scoring just 26 total points in their last four games. While most will look at that and never play on Cincinnati, the 26 points scored in the last four games does not indicate anything, as teams that have scored 26 or fewer in their last four actually have a winning record against the spread. The fact is that a team that has scored 26 or fewer points in their last four games have been 23-11-2 ATS as a dog from 13.5 to 25. (8-3-1 ATS from game 10 out). Tulsa has not been this big of a conference favorite since 2012 against Tulane, and I don't think Cincinnati has sunk that low, as they have not been a dog in a conference game of this magnitude since 2006 vs. Louisville. The line is way overdone so, take the points on Cincinnati.